Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores - Prediction, Preview, and Odds

When: Tuesday, February 22nd, 2022 at 9:00pm E.T.

Where: Memorial Gym, Nashville, TN.

How: SEC Network.

Spread: Crimson Tide -4.

Total: 153.5.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Crimson Tide Spotlight

The Alabama Crimson Tide started off hot versus Kentucky in their last game, but cooled off in the second half as Kentucky cruised to victory, while covering the 7.5-point spread in the process. Offensively on the road, the Crimson Tide rank 4th in points per game, 65th in field goal percentage, and 132nd in 3-point shooting. Defensively on the road, the Crimson Tide rank 351st in points allowed, 280th in field goal percentage, 198th in 3-point shooting, and 273rd in rebounding. 

Commodores Spotlight

The Vanderbilt Commodores snapped their two-game skid by handling Texas AM, while covering the 4-point spread in the process. Offensively at home, the Commodores rank 256th in points per game, 329th in field goal percentage, and 270th in 3-point shooting. Defensively at home, the Commodores rank 109th in points allowed, 136th in field goal percentage, 54th in 3-point shooting, and 269th in rebounding. 

Final Say

The focus will be on the total in this matchup where the over has been trending for both teams. The over is 10-4 in Alabama’s last 14 games overall, and 8-1 in Alabama’s last nine games on the road. It is also 9-4 in Alabama’s last 13 games versus an SEC opponent. As for Vanderbilt the over has hit in seven straight games, and is 4-1 in their last five games at home. As for when these squads get together, the over is 13-7 in their last 20 meetings. In their last 10 meetings, they have combined for 154 points per game and they have both shot below 44% during that span which means these are sloppy ticky-tac matchups where fouls will be coming in left and right. That means free throws and clock stoppages, which is why I expect this total to creep over the threshold tonight.

Pick: Over 153.5 Total Points