When: Monday, December 27th, 2021 at 8:15pm E.T.

Where: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA.

How: ESPN.

Spread: Dolphins -3.

Total: 37.5.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Dolphins Spotlight

The Miami Dolphins just reeled off their sixth-straight victory last week against the New York Jets, but they did fail to cover the 10-point spread. On the road, the Dolphin’s offense ranks 29th in points per game, 12th in pass yards, 27th in rush yards, and 22nd in yards per play. Defensively on the road, the Dolphins rank 14th in points allowed, 32nd in pass yards allowed, 17th in rush yards allowed, and 32nd in yards per play.

Saints Spotlight

The New Orleans Saints just blanked one of the best offenses in the league against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week, making it two-straight victories for them. At home, the Saint’s offense ranks 24th in points per game, 24th in pass yards, 8th in rush yards, and 20th in yards per play. Defensively at home, the Saints rank 11th in points allowed, 32nd in pass yards allowed, 2nd in rush yards allowed, and 31st in yards per play.

Final Say

The focus will be on the total for this matchup where the under has hit in five of the Dolphin’s last seven games, while it has hit in four-straight for the Saints. Those defensive stats above aren’t pretty, but both teams are playing good defense at the moment. The Saints are giving up 12.0 points per game in their last three games, while the Dolphins are giving up 14.3 points per game during that span. Meanwhile, both offenses rank in the bottom tier of explosiveness, so expect longer hard-fought drives. This is an important game for both teams so expect the first quarter be used to get-a-feel-for-you type of quarter before they really get things rolling, which I believe will be a big help in keeping this total under 37.5 points.

Pick: Under 37.5 Total Points