When: Saturday, November 20, 2021 at 12:00PM ET.

Where: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, Ohio.

How: ABC.

Spread: Buckeyes -18.5.

Total: 68.5.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Spartans Spotlight

The Michigan State Spartans bounced back against the Maryland Terrapins last week, after tripping up against Purdue the week before. On the road, the Spartans offense ranks 33rd in points per game, 56th in pass yards, 16th in rush yards, and 6th in yards per play. Defensively on the road, the Spartans rank 30th in points allowed, 125th in pass yards allowed, 10th in rush yards allowed, and 6th in yards per play.

Buckeyes Spotlight

The Ohio State Buckeyes continued to tear through the Big 10 last week, handling a good Purdue Boilermakers team and covering the 19-point spread. At home, the Buckeyes have been unstoppable, ranking 3rd in points per game, 5th in pass yards, 30th in rush yards, and 1st in yards per play. Defensively at home, the Buckeyes have been a little sloppy, ranking 58th in points allowed, 126th in pass yards allowed, 19th in rush yards allowed, and 67th in yards per play.

Final Say

Michigan State has been a profitable back lately going 4-1 ATS in their last five games, and 6-1 SU in their last seven games versus a Big 10 opponent. Ohio State too, has been profitable back, going 5-2 ATS in their last seven games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus an East Division opponent. They have also gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a 40-point performance, so they’ve been good at riding the wave. The Spartan’s pass defense is going to struggle containing the Buckeye’s explosive pass game, and may struggle to keep up scoring considering they’ve averaged just 9.3 points per game in their last three meetings with the Buckeyes. The Buckeyes have also been winning the turnover battle, owning a +3 differential in their last three games, compared to the Spartans -2 differential. Vegas is begging you to take the Spartans with the double-digit spread, but I’m not biting. Lay the big number and back the home favorites. 

Pick: Ohio State Buckeyes -18.5