We periodically update throughout the day—mornings, afternoon, evening and overnight.

What are we measuring?

The question is whether visible market pressure and price behavior can systematically identify useful sportsbook BOOKIE NEED situations. An alert is a hypothesis, not a prediction of a fixed outcome or proof of a sportsbook's actual liability.

1. Exposure: Reported money and ticket splits appear concentrated on one side.
2. Market reaction: Compare timestamped earlier and current prices; flag resistance or movement against the reported loaded side.
3. Independent contrast: Examine whether a separate book's reported money supports the opposite, book-needed side.
4. Record and grade: Preserve the trigger price and its timestamp; compare closing quotes and final outcomes without deleting losing alerts.

Official play status

0 certified official plays so far. An alert cannot graduate to an official, tracked play merely because reported handle and ticket percentages appear extreme. The qualification gate additionally requires independent US/Vegas confirmation, adverse price movement, a timestamped executable quote, a verified opener, and absolute wagering-volume evidence. If any prerequisite is missing, the signal remains provisional and its rejection reasons are preserved in the audit log. Official results will be shown separately from provisional alert results; retrospective promotions are prohibited.

Public alert ledger

Existing preliminary records are shown for transparency. Some can be multiple markets on one game, some are historical, and some were recorded before this public beta. This is not a live-verified feed yet. The display is a publication snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026 17:56 UTC; it does not claim automatic updating.

Bookie Magic market intelligence

One analysis destination. Three independent market views. DraftKings and Circa supply reported sportsbook splits and lines; Kalshi supplies exchange probabilities, trading activity and contract prices; Polymarket supplies a second exchange-market comparison.

Explore Kalshi markets · Explore Polymarket sports · IWL Market Lab

The research engine checks matched games and market definitions before comparing exchange probabilities against sportsbook pricing. Until matching is verified, candidate markets remain in research—not official selections. Full historical outcomes remain in the public ledger below.

How we will judge the beta

We will report every trigger's time, quoted price, availability at release, later closing price, settlement result, and flat-stake performance when independently verifiable. We will separately evaluate reversal, resistance and cross-book confirmation. Cancellations, stale quotes, duplicate alerts, missing data and ungraded records will remain visible rather than being quietly dropped.

Frequently asked questions

Research and informational use only. No guaranteed profitability. Do not assume reported handle is verified net book liability. This page does not republish underlying providers' proprietary full betting-splits tables.