Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 03,2025
Game Preview: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Date and Time: Thursday, April 3, 2025, at 1:05 p.m. ET
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Broadcast: MASN and NESN
Betting Odds:
Moneyline: Orioles -114, Red Sox -105
Run Line: Red Sox -1.5
Total Runs: Over/Under set at 9 runs
Team Performance and Recent Form:
Boston Red Sox:
The Red Sox enter this matchup with a 2-4 record. Offensively, they have struggled, averaging just over two runs per game. Kristian Campbell leads the team with eight hits and two RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu and Alex Bregman have combined for 13 hits and six RBIs. The pitching staff has posted a 3.78 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP.
Baltimore Orioles:
The Orioles hold a 3-3 record. Their offense has been more productive, averaging over four runs per game. Jordan Westburg leads the team with eight hits and three RBIs, while Tyler O'Neill and Ramon Urias have combined for 15 hits and eight RBIs. The pitching staff has a 4.33 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP.
Probable Pitchers:
Boston Red Sox: Tanner Houck (RHP)
2025 Season Stats: 0-1 record, 6.35 ERA, 2 strikeouts
Career vs. Orioles: 4-3 record, 3.50 ERA, 36 strikeouts
Houck aims to rebound from a tough season debut and leverage his past success against Baltimore.
Baltimore Orioles: Charlie Morton (RHP)
2025 Season Stats: 0-1 record, 10.80 ERA, 3 strikeouts
Career vs. Red Sox: 8-2 record, 4.21 ERA, 88 strikeouts
Morton looks to bounce back from a rough first outing and continue his effectiveness against Boston.
Key Player Matchups:
Red Sox Offense vs. Charlie Morton:
Boston's lineup needs to overcome early-season offensive woes. Kristian Campbell and Wilyer Abreu must set the tone at the top of the order. Morton's experience and past success against the Red Sox pose a significant challenge.
Orioles Offense vs. Tanner Houck:
Baltimore's offense, led by Jordan Westburg and Tyler O'Neill, has shown the ability to produce runs. Facing Houck, who has had success against the Orioles in the past, they will need to maintain discipline at the plate.
Betting Trends:
The Orioles have won each of their last four day games against the Red Sox following a loss.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Orioles following a win.
The Orioles have led after five innings in four of their last five day games against the Red Sox at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Prediction:
Considering the current form of both teams and the pitching matchup, the Orioles appear to have a slight advantage, especially playing at home. However, both starting pitchers are looking to rebound from tough season debuts, which could lead to a high-scoring game. The Orioles' more consistent offense and Morton's track record against the Red Sox suggest that Baltimore may have the edge in this contest.
Projected Score: Orioles 7, Red Sox 6
Betting Pick: Over 9 runs
