Dallas Mavericks vs. Philadelphia 76ers: Picks and Predictions, February 4, 2025
The Dallas Mavericks and Philadelphia 76ers will face off on Tuesday, February 4, 2025, at 7:00 PM ET at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. This game presents an intriguing matchup between two teams with playoff aspirations, making it a must-watch for NBA fans and bettors alike. Let’s break down this game with a preview, key player matchups, betting trends, and our best picks.
Game Preview
Dallas Mavericks
The Mavericks have been a strong contender in the Western Conference, led by superstar Luka Dončić and co-star Kyrie Irving. Dončić continues to put up MVP-caliber numbers, averaging over 30 points per game, while Irving has been a crucial secondary scorer and playmaker. The addition of Derrick Lively II has helped Dallas improve on the defensive end, particularly in rim protection.
Dallas has been in solid form recently, winning six of their last eight games, but they’ve struggled against elite Eastern Conference teams. Their biggest concern heading into this game will be containing Joel Embiid, who has dominated the paint this season.
Philadelphia 76ers
The 76ers, led by Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey, have been one of the top teams in the East. Embiid is playing at an MVP level, averaging over 32 points and 11 rebounds per game, while Maxey has elevated his game as the team’s primary playmaker in James Harden’s absence.
Philadelphia is coming off a statement win against a top-seeded Eastern Conference rival, and they’ll look to defend home court against a Dallas team that struggles on the road. However, injuries could play a role, as Embiid remains questionable with a lingering knee issue.
Key Matchups
Luka Dončić vs. Tyrese Maxey
Both guards play pivotal roles for their teams, and this battle could determine the outcome. Dončić has the size and experience advantage, but Maxey’s speed and perimeter shooting could pose problems for the Mavs' defense.
Joel Embiid vs. Mavericks’ Interior Defense
If Embiid plays, Dallas will have a tough time stopping him. Dereck Lively II and Daniel Gafford will need to step up defensively, but Embiid has consistently dominated the Mavericks in previous matchups. If he sits, Philadelphia will have to rely on a small-ball approach, which could favor Dallas.
Bench Production
Both teams have solid role players, with Grant Williams, Tim Hardaway Jr., and Dante Exum providing depth for Dallas, while De’Anthony Melton, Kelly Oubre Jr., and Nicolas Batum bring energy for Philadelphia.
Betting Trends
Mavericks are 5-2 ATS (against the spread) in their last seven games.
76ers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
The UNDER has hit in five of Philadelphia’s last six games.
Dallas is 3-8 in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record.
Picks and Predictions
🏀 Spread Pick: Philadelphia 76ers -3.5
If Embiid plays, the 76ers have the clear edge, especially at home. Dallas has struggled in physical matchups, and Philadelphia’s defensive intensity could slow them down.
🔥 Total Points Pick: UNDER 231.5
Both teams have improved defensively, and with Embiid potentially limited, the scoring pace might slow down. Dallas also plays slower on the road, which could keep this game under the total.
💰 Player Prop Bet: Luka Dončić Over 8.5 Assists
Dončić will likely see double teams throughout the game, leading to plenty of assist opportunities for his teammates. Given his playmaking ability, he should clear this line comfortably.
Final Prediction
Philadelphia 76ers 115 - Dallas Mavericks 108
This game could be a close contest if Embiid is out, but Philadelphia has the defensive tools to limit Dallas' offense. Expect the 76ers to control the tempo and pick up a key home win.
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