Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 01, 2025

​The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to face the New York Yankees on Tuesday, April 1, 2025, at Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET, with television coverage available on TBS, YES, and ARID.

Betting Odds:

• Moneyline: Diamondbacks -112, Yankees -107​

• Run Line: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+144), Yankees +1.5 (-172)​

• Total: 8.5 runs (Over -109, Under -111)

Pitching Matchup:

• Arizona Diamondbacks: Corbin Burnes is expected to start for Arizona. Burnes concluded the previous season with a 2.92 ERA, positioning him as a pivotal asset for the Diamondbacks. ​

• New York Yankees: Will Warren is slated to take the mound for New York. Specific statistics for Warren's previous season are not detailed in the available sources.​

Team Performance and Trends:

• Arizona Diamondbacks:

  • Finished the previous season with a 53-34 record when listed as the moneyline favorite, winning 60.9% of those games.

  • Have a strong road performance, going 13-6 straight-up in their last 19 away games.

  • Historically struggled at Yankee Stadium, losing 13 of their last 17 games in New York. ​

• New York Yankees:

  • Performed as underdogs in 29 games last season, winning 20 of those contests (69%).

  • Excel at home, with a 6-2 straight-up record in their last eight games at Yankee Stadium. ​

  • Demonstrated offensive strength in recent games, scoring 20-9 and 12-3 victories over the Brewers. ​

Player Highlights:

• Arizona Diamondbacks:

  • Ketel Marte: Recorded 36 home runs and 95 RBIs last season. ​

  • Corbin Carroll: Achieved a .231 batting average with an OBP of .322 and a slugging percentage of .428. ​

• New York Yankees:

  • Aaron Judge: Concluded the previous season with a .322 batting average, 58 home runs, and 144 RBIs.

  • Cody Bellinger: Posted a .266 batting average, including 23 doubles and 18 home runs. ​

Prediction:

Analysts project a score of Yankees 9, Diamondbacks 5, with the total runs exceeding 8.5. The implied win probabilities are 64% for the Diamondbacks and 36% for the Yankees. ​

Betting Insights:

• The total has gone over in five of the Diamondbacks' last six games. ​

• The Yankees have seen the total go over in four of their last five games. ​

• Considering the Yankees' recent offensive surge and the Diamondbacks' challenges at Yankee Stadium, betting on the Yankees' moneyline at -107 presents value. Additionally, wagering on the over 8.5 total runs aligns with recent trends.​

Conclusion:

The upcoming matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Yankees features teams with contrasting recent performances and historical trends. While the Diamondbacks have shown strength on the road, their historical struggles at Yankee Stadium and the Yankees' current offensive momentum suggest a favorable outcome for New York. As always, it's essential to stay informed with the latest team news and lineup changes before making any wagers.​

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