Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Predictions: Odds, Expert Picks, April 18, 2025
The Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies are set to clash on Friday, April 18, 2025, at 9:30 PM ET at the FedExForum in Memphis. This NBA Play-In Tournament game will determine the Western Conference's eighth seed, with the victor advancing to face the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder in the first round of the playoffs.
Team Overviews
Dallas Mavericks (39–43, 10th Seed)
The Mavericks enter this matchup after a convincing 120–106 victory over the Sacramento Kings in their previous Play-In game. Anthony Davis led the charge with a dominant performance, showcasing his ability to impact the game on both ends of the floor. Klay Thompson provided valuable scoring support, while PJ Washington contributed significantly on defense.
Despite their underdog status, the Mavericks are motivated to secure a playoff berth and have demonstrated resilience in overcoming adversity throughout the season.
Memphis Grizzlies (48–34, 8th Seed)
The Grizzlies are looking to rebound after a narrow 121–116 loss to the Golden State Warriors in their initial Play-In game. Ja Morant, who suffered a right ankle injury during that contest, is listed as a game-time decision for Friday's matchup. Desmond Bane has been a consistent offensive threat, and Jaren Jackson Jr. anchors the team's defense.
Memphis aims to capitalize on their home-court advantage and secure a spot in the playoffs for the third consecutive season.
Injury Reports
Dallas Mavericks
Anthony Davis (F/C): Probable (adductor strain)
Kyrie Irving (G): Out (torn ACL)
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (F): Out (wrist sprain)
Brandon Williams (G): Questionable (undisclosed injury)
Memphis Grizzlies
Ja Morant (PG): Questionable for Friday's Play-In Game against the Mavericks due to a right ankle injury.
Jaylen Wells (F): Out for the remainder of the season with a wrist injury and concussion.
Zyon Pullin (G): Out due to a knee injury.
Brandon Clarke (PF): Out for the season after receiving an orthobiologic injection in his right knee; expected to make a full recovery prior to the 2025-26 season.
Betting Odds
Spread: Grizzlies -6.5
Moneyline: Grizzlies -275, Mavericks +220
Over/Under: 221.5 points
Head-to-Head Matchup
During the 2024–25 regular season, the Grizzlies won three of the four meetings against the Mavericks, including a dominant 132–97 victory in their most recent encounter. However, historical playoff matchups have favored Dallas, adding an intriguing layer to this high-stakes game.
Key Matchups
Anthony Davis vs. Jaren Jackson Jr.
This battle between two elite big men will be pivotal. Davis's offensive versatility and defensive prowess will be tested against Jackson's shot-blocking ability and perimeter shooting.
Klay Thompson vs. Desmond Bane
Both players are sharpshooters capable of swinging momentum with their three-point shooting. Their performances could significantly influence the game's outcome.
Prediction
The game's outcome may hinge on Ja Morant's availability. If Morant plays and is effective, the Grizzlies have a strong chance to secure the win. However, if he's limited or unavailable, the Mavericks could capitalize on their momentum and experience.
Final Score Prediction: Grizzlies 112, Mavericks 106
Expect a competitive game with both teams vying intensely for the final playoff spot.
