Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets: Game Preview and Prediction, February 27, 2025

The Milwaukee Bucks are set to host the Denver Nuggets on Thursday, February 27, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. This marquee matchup features two of the league's premier teams, each led by MVP-caliber players.

Team Performance and Standings

• Milwaukee Bucks (32-25): Currently 5th in the Eastern Conference, the Bucks are looking to rebound after a narrow 100-97 loss to the Houston Rockets, which snapped their four-game winning streak. Despite the setback, Milwaukee has been strong at home, boasting a 16-12-1 record against the spread (ATS) at Fiserv Forum. The team averages 113.9 points per game while allowing 112.4 points, showcasing a balanced approach on both ends of the court.

• Denver Nuggets (38-20): Sitting 3rd in the Western Conference, the Nuggets are coming off a 125-116 victory over the Indiana Pacers. Denver has been impressive on the road, with a 14-14-1 ATS record in away games. The Nuggets' offense is prolific, averaging 121.3 points per game, while their defense concedes 116 points per contest.

Key Players

• Milwaukee Bucks:

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF): Averaging 31.0 points, 12.0 rebounds, and 5.8 assists per game, Giannis continues to be the cornerstone of the Bucks' success.

  • Damian Lillard (PG): Contributing 25.5 points and 7.4 assists per game, Lillard's perimeter shooting complements Giannis's inside game.

  • Brook Lopez (C): Adding 12.5 points and 4.9 rebounds per game, Lopez also provides a defensive presence in the paint.

• Denver Nuggets:

  • Nikola Jokic (C): Posting 29.2 points, 12.6 rebounds, and 10.4 assists per game, Jokic's all-around playmaking makes him a matchup nightmare.

  • Jamal Murray (PG): Averaging 21.1 points and 6.1 assists per game, Murray's scoring ability is crucial, especially in clutch situations.

  • Michael Porter Jr. (SF): Contributing 18.6 points and 6.7 rebounds per game, Porter Jr. offers consistent scoring from the wing.

Injury Updates

• Milwaukee Bucks:

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF): Listed as probable due to a calf issue but is expected to play.

  • Pat Connaughton (SG): Out with a calf injury, affecting the team's depth on the wing.

• Denver Nuggets:

  • Aaron Gordon (PF): Probable with a calf injury; his versatility is key for Denver's frontcourt.

  • Jamal Murray (PG): Probable due to a knee concern but is anticipated to suit up.

  • Vlatko Cancar (SF): Cancar (knee) will not play Thursday against the Bucks.

Betting Insights

• Point Spread: Nuggets favored by 3 points.

• Over/Under: Set at 239.5 points.

• Moneyline: Nuggets -154, Bucks +130.

Prediction

This contest showcases two elite teams with MVP frontrunners in Giannis Antetokounmpo and Nikola Jokic. The Nuggets' high-powered offense will challenge the Bucks' defense, which has been solid, especially at home. Given Denver's recent form and Milwaukee's slight inconsistencies against Western Conference opponents, the Nuggets are favored to edge out a victory. However, considering both teams' offensive capabilities, the total points are likely to surpass the 239.5 over/under line.

For more expert picks and betting insights, check out Bettor Center’s subscription page for premium betting analysis!