Wizards vs. Philadelphia 76ers Predictions, March 26, 2025
Key Points
Research suggests the Philadelphia 76ers are likely to cover the -9.5 spread against the Washington Wizards.
It seems likely that Jordan Poole will go over his points prop, estimated at around 20.5, if he plays.
Game Prediction and Analysis
The Washington Wizards (15-56) face the Philadelphia 76ers (23-49) at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA, on March 26, 2025, at 7:00 PM EDT. The 76ers are favored by 9.5 points, with the over/under set at approximately 223.5.
Team Performance and Recent Form
Washington Wizards: The Wizards are 15th in the Eastern Conference, with a record of 15-56. They've been struggling, losing five straight games, including a 112-104 loss to the Toronto Raptors on March 24, 2025. Their season has been marked by poor performance, and they are eliminated from playoff contention.
Philadelphia 76ers: The 76ers are 13th in the Eastern Conference, with a record of 23-49. They have also been on a losing streak, dropping five straight and eight of their last nine, with their latest loss being 112-99 to the New Orleans Pelicans on March 24, 2025. They trail the 10th and final playoff spot by 7.5 games with 10 games remaining.
Key Players and Injuries
Wizards: Key players include Jordan Poole, averaging 20.5 points over the last 10 games, and Tyus Jones, averaging 15 points and 8 assists. However, they will be without Saddiq Bey, Bital Coulibaly, Malcolm Brogdon, and Corey Kispert, with Kyshawn George listed as a game-time decision.
76ers: The 76ers are significantly depleted, with Joel Embiid out for the season due to a knee injury, Tyrese Maxey out with a right finger sprain for the game, Paul George out for the season with groin and knee injuries, and Kelly Oubre Jr. likely out with a knee injury. Their available key players include Tobias Harris, De'Anthony Melton, Buddy Hield, and Nicolas Batum.
Betting Picks
Spread Pick: Philadelphia 76ers -9.5, given their home advantage and slightly better record, despite both teams' struggles.
Player Prop: Jordan Poole Over 20.5 Points, as he is the Wizards' leading scorer and likely to step up in a high-scoring game.
This prediction is based on the teams' current standings, recent performances, and key player contributions, with an unexpected detail being the 76ers' significant injury list, making the game closer than their favored status suggests.
Detailed Analysis of Washington Wizards vs. Philadelphia 76ers, March 26, 2025
Welcome to a comprehensive breakdown of the Washington Wizards vs. Philadelphia 76ers matchup on March 26, 2025, as part of our betting analysis. This game, set at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA, at 7:00 PM EDT, offers several betting opportunities based on team performance, player stats, and historical trends. Let's dive into the data and provide a thorough prediction.
Game Overview
The game features the Washington Wizards, with a record of 15-56, against the Philadelphia 76ers, at 23-49. The 76ers are hosting and are favored by 9.5 points, with the over/under set at approximately 223.5.
Team Standings and Recent Performance
Washington Wizards: The Wizards are 15th in the Eastern Conference, with a record of 15-56. Their recent games show a consistent struggle, with a five-game losing streak, including a 112-104 loss to the Toronto Raptors on March 24, 2025. They have been eliminated from playoff contention and are one of the worst teams in the league, averaging 120.5 points allowed per game, 10.5 more than the 76ers score.
Philadelphia 76ers: The 76ers are 13th in the Eastern Conference, with a record of 23-49. They have been on a downward spiral, losing five straight games and eight of their last nine, with their latest loss being 112-99 to the New Orleans Pelicans on March 24, 2025. They trail the 10th and final playoff spot by 7.5 games with 10 games remaining, and their season has been marred by injuries to key players.
Head-to-Head Record and Historical Trends
Historically, the 76ers have a better head-to-head record against the Wizards, with 136 wins to 114 losses in 250 games. Recent games show the 76ers winning their last meeting on January 8, 2025, but that was before the significant injuries to Embiid and Maxey. Betting trends show the 76ers covering the spread in 40% of home games, while the Wizards struggle on the road, covering only 30% of such games. The total has gone under in 6 of the last 10 76ers home games and 7 of the last 10 Wizards road games.
Key Player Performances
Jordan Poole (Wizards): Averaging 20.5 points over the last 10 games, Poole is the Wizards' leading scorer. Recent games show 25 points against the Raptors and 22 points against the Hawks. His points prop is likely set at around 20.5, and he is expected to go over if he plays.
Tyus Jones (Wizards): Averaging 15 points and 8 assists per game, Jones is another key contributor, with recent games showing 18 points and 10 assists against the Nets.
Tobias Harris (76ers): With Embiid, Maxey, George, and possibly Oubre out, Harris becomes a primary option, averaging 17.2 points and 6.5 rebounds over the last 10 games, with 20 points in their last game against the Pelicans.
De'Anthony Melton (76ers): Averaging 12 points and 3 assists, Melton could see increased minutes, with recent games showing 15 points against the Spurs.
Buddy Hield (76ers): Averaging 12.1 points and 2.5 three-pointers, Hield is another scoring option, with 18 points in their last game.
Injury Reports
Wizards: Saddiq Bey, Bital Coulibaly, Malcolm Brogdon, and Corey Kispert are out, with Kyshawn George listed as a game-time decision. This leaves their roster thin, with Jordan Poole and Tyus Jones as the main offensive threats.
76ers: Joel Embiid is out for the season with a knee injury, Tyrese Maxey is out with a right finger sprain for the game, Paul George is out for the season with groin and knee injuries, and Kelly Oubre Jr. is likely out with a knee injury. This leaves the 76ers with a severely depleted roster, relying on Tobias Harris, De'Anthony Melton, and Buddy Hield.
Game Prediction and Betting Picks
Given the 76ers' home advantage and slightly better record, despite their injury woes, the evidence leans toward the 76ers covering the -9.5 spread. The Wizards' poor record and recent form suggest they may struggle to keep up, even with their key players available. The total points line at 223.5 seems high, given both teams' recent low-scoring games (Wizards scored 104, 76ers scored 99 in their last games), so the under might be a consideration.
For player props, Jordan Poole's points prop at around 20.5 is a strong bet, given his recent performances and the Wizards' reliance on him. For the 76ers, Tobias Harris over 17.5 points could be a good pick, as he is expected to step up in the absence of their stars.
Detailed Betting Trends Table
| Team | Spread Cover Rate (Home Favorites) | Home/Away Trend | Total Points Trend (Last 10 Games) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Wizards | 30% (road games) | 2-8 SU in last 10 away games | Under in 7 of last 10 games |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 40% (home games) | 3-7 SU in last 10 home games | Under in 6 of last 10 games |
Final Picks
Spread Pick: Philadelphia 76ers -9.5. The 76ers' home advantage and better record, despite injuries, suggest they can cover against a struggling Wizards team.
Player Prop: Jordan Poole Over 20.5 Points. His scoring average and recent games make this a safe bet given the Wizards' reliance on him.
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