Red Sox vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - March 28, 2025
The Boston Red Sox and Texas Rangers are set to clash on Friday, March 28, 2025, at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Both teams aim to build momentum early in the season, making this matchup a compelling one for fans and bettors alike.
Pitching Matchup:
Boston Red Sox: Tanner Houck will take the mound for the Red Sox. In the previous season, Houck posted a 9-10 record with a 3.12 ERA and 154 strikeouts. Historically, Houck has faced challenges against the Rangers, holding a 0-1 record with a 5.30 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against Texas.
Texas Rangers: The Rangers will counter with Jack Leiter. Leiter struggled last season, recording an 0-3 record with an 8.83 ERA and 31 strikeouts. This game marks his first career appearance against the Red Sox.
Betting Odds:
Moneyline: Red Sox -121, Rangers +101
Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under: 8.5 runs (Over -120, Under -101)
Prediction:
Analysts project a 5-3 victory for the Red Sox, with the total runs falling under 8.5. The implied win probabilities are 64% for Boston and 36% for Texas.
Betting Insights:
Boston Red Sox: Last season, the Red Sox had a 40-38 record when favored on the moneyline (51.3%). When favored with odds of -121 or shorter, they held a 33-27 record (55%).
Texas Rangers: The Rangers were underdogs in 69 games last season, winning 23 (33.3%).
Player Highlights:
Boston Red Sox:
Jarren Duran: Batted .285 last season with 21 home runs and 75 RBIs.
Rafael Devers: Hit .272 with 28 home runs and 83 RBIs.
Wilyer Abreu: In the season opener, Abreu led the Red Sox with three hits and four RBIs.
Texas Rangers:
Marcus Semien: Recorded a .237 average with 23 home runs and 64 walks last season.
Corey Seager: Hit .278 with 30 home runs.
Josh Jung: Leads the Rangers with two hits in the current season.
Trends:
Red Sox:
Have won 16 of their last 17 Friday games against AL West opponents with a losing record.
Covered the run line in each of their last six Friday night games against the Rangers.
Rangers:
Lost each of their last four night games against teams with a winning record.
Failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Friday night games at Globe Life Field.
Recommendation:
Considering the pitching matchup and recent trends, betting on the Red Sox to cover the -1.5 run line at +135 odds appears favorable. Additionally, with the projected total under 8.5 runs, wagering on the under could be a prudent choice.
Conclusion:
The upcoming game between the Boston Red Sox and Texas Rangers presents an intriguing early-season matchup. With both teams aiming to establish momentum, fans can anticipate a competitive contest. For bettors, analyzing the provided insights and staying updated with any late-breaking news will be key to making informed wagers.
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