Twins vs. White Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - March 31,2025
The Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox are set to face off on Monday, March 31, 2025, at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago. The first pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Both teams are aiming to rebound from challenging starts to their seasons, making this matchup pivotal for setting an early tone.
Pitching Matchup:
Minnesota Twins: Chris Paddack is slated to start for the Twins. In the previous season, Paddack posted a 5-3 record with a 4.99 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 88.1 innings pitched.
Chicago White Sox: The White Sox will counter with Martín Pérez. After being traded from Pittsburgh to San Diego last year, Pérez compiled a 3-1 record with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 52.0 innings.
Team Performances:
Minnesota Twins: The Twins are seeking their first win of the season after being swept by the St. Louis Cardinals. Over the three-game series, Minnesota struggled offensively, scoring a total of six runs and recording a team batting average of .167. Their pitching staff also faced challenges, posting a combined ERA of 6.38.
Chicago White Sox: The White Sox hold a 1-2 record, having secured a decisive 8-1 victory in their season opener against the Los Angeles Angels but subsequently dropping the next two games by narrow margins of 1-0 and 3-2. Chicago's pitching staff has been a bright spot, boasting a 1.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP, though the offense has managed only 10 runs with a .196 batting average.
Betting Odds:
Moneyline: Twins -183, White Sox +152.
Run Line: Twins -1.5.
Over/Under: 8 runs.
Prediction:
Analysts project a 4-2 victory for the White Sox, with the total runs falling under 8. The implied win probabilities are 66% for the Twins and 34% for the White Sox.
Betting Insights:
Minnesota Twins: Last season, the Twins had a 63-50 record when favored on the moneyline, winning 55.8% of those games. When favored with odds of -183 or shorter, they held a 23-5 record (82.1%).
Chicago White Sox: The White Sox were underdogs in 154 games last season, winning 37 (24%).
Player Highlights:
Minnesota Twins:
Willi Castro: Leads the team with one home run and three RBIs this season.
Harrison Bader: Contributed one home run and two RBIs.
Chicago White Sox:
Andrew Benintendi: Recorded one home run and three RBIs in the opening series.
Nick Maton: Hit a home run in the recent game against the Angels.
Trends:
White Sox:
Have lost each of their last 11 day games following a home loss.
Have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against AL Central opponents.
Twins:
Have won 13 of their last 14 games against the White Sox.
Have led after 3 innings in 12 of their last 14 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Recommendation:
Considering the Twins' recent dominance over the White Sox and the current pitching matchup, betting on the Twins to win at -183 odds appears favorable. Additionally, with both teams' offenses struggling early in the season and the projected total under 8 runs, wagering on the under could be a prudent choice.
Conclusion:
The upcoming game between the Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox presents an opportunity for both teams to set a positive trajectory early in the season. With the Twins seeking their first win and the White Sox aiming to bounce back from consecutive losses, this matchup holds significance for both clubs. For bettors, analyzing the provided insights and staying updated with any late-breaking news will be key to making informed wagers.
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